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Re: OT: The Bible Code [message #60316]

Fri, 02 January 2004 18:19

TheGunrun
Messages: 801
Registered: April 2003
Location: nj

Karma:

Colonel

The Probrability Of this being bull shit: 1 out of 5.3 million

Skeptic Scientists

When the authors used a randomization test to see how rarely the patterns they found might arise by chance alone they obtained a highly significant result, with the probability p=0.000016. Our referees were baffled: their prior beliefs made them think the Book of Genesis could not possibly contain meaningful references to modern-day individuals, yet when the authors carried out additional analyses and checks the effect persisted.

That is, the probability of getting the results they did was 16 out of one million or 1 out of 62,500. The authors state: "Randomization analysis shows that the effect is significant at the level of 0.00002 [and] the proximity of ELS's with related meanings in the Book of Genesis is not due to chance." Harold Gans, a former cryptologist at the US Defense Department, replicated the work of the Israeli team and agreed with their conclusion. Witztum later claimed that, according to one measure, the probability of getting these results by chance is 1 in 4 million. He has apparently changed his mind and now claims that the probability p = 0.00000019 (1 out of 5.3 million).

As further evidence of the statistical significance of their results, the Israeli team analyzed the Hebrew version of the Book of Isaiah and the first 78,064 characters of a Hebrew translation of Tolstoy's War and Peace. They found many names in close proximity to birth or death dates, but the results were statistically insignificant. (The book of Genesis used in their study, the Koren version, has 78,064 characters.)

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[Message index]

		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 09:08
		OT: The Bible Code By: DBB on Fri, 02 January 2004 09:54
		OT: The Bible Code By: xRYaNNx on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:09
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:16
		OT: The Bible Code By: SuperFlyingEngi on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:19
		OT: The Bible Code By: Gernader8 on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:20
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:23
		OT: The Bible Code By: Ferhago on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:34
		OT: The Bible Code By: SteveT02 on Fri, 02 January 2004 10:53
		OT: The Bible Code By: bigejoe14 on Fri, 02 January 2004 11:20
		OT: The Bible Code By: gendres on Fri, 02 January 2004 11:29
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 11:31
		OT: The Bible Code By: warranto on Fri, 02 January 2004 11:36
		OT: The Bible Code By: IRON FART on Fri, 02 January 2004 12:42
		OT: The Bible Code By: maj.boredom on Fri, 02 January 2004 13:20
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 13:31
		OT: The Bible Code By: Gernader8 on Fri, 02 January 2004 13:51
		OT: The Bible Code By: spreegem on Fri, 02 January 2004 15:14
		OT: The Bible Code By: K9Trooper on Fri, 02 January 2004 15:18
		OT: The Bible Code By: terminator 101 on Fri, 02 January 2004 15:19
		OT: The Bible Code By: rm5248 on Fri, 02 January 2004 15:56
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 18:17
		Re: OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 02 January 2004 18:19
		OT: The Bible Code By: DBB on Fri, 02 January 2004 21:07
		OT: The Bible Code By: Cpo64 on Fri, 02 January 2004 21:09
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Sat, 03 January 2004 10:56
		OT: The Bible Code By: sniper12345 on Sat, 03 January 2004 11:17
		OT: The Bible Code By: smwScott on Sat, 03 January 2004 15:16
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Sat, 03 January 2004 16:07
		OT: The Bible Code By: SteveT02 on Sat, 03 January 2004 17:13
		OT: The Bible Code By: warranto on Sat, 03 January 2004 17:48
		OT: The Bible Code By: MrBob on Sat, 03 January 2004 19:13
		OT: The Bible Code By: OrcaPilot26 on Sat, 03 January 2004 21:27
		OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Fri, 09 January 2004 21:06
		OT: The Bible Code By: DragonFg on Sat, 10 January 2004 09:05
		Yeah, right... By: Brutus on Sat, 10 January 2004 10:57
		Re: OT: The Bible Code By: TheGunrun on Sat, 10 January 2004 11:08
		OT: The Bible Code By: Brutus on Sat, 10 January 2004 11:42

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